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EURUSD

XM市场研究

XM市场研究 - 2小时前Neutral

Week Ahead – BoC to speed up rate cuts; flash PMIs eyed for growth clues

Bank of Canada meets; may opt for bigger 50-bps cutOctober flash PMIs to set the mood amid some growth concernsA relatively quiet week otherwise, with mostly second-tier releasesBoC to likely cut by half a pointExpectations that the Bank of Canada will cut rates by 50 basis points at its October meeting firmed up after the latest CPI data. Nevertheless, markets are not fully convinced of an outsized move, hence, there is a little bit of uncertainty heading into Wednesday’s decision by Canada��
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XM市场研究 - 5小时前Neutral

Daily Comment – Strong US data keep the dollar in demand

 ECB cuts rate, keeps door wide open to a December moveEuro suffers as US retail sales surprise on the upsideFocus today is on Fedspeak and in particular Fed’s BosticGold surpasses $2,700 as China announces further measuresECB announces rate cut, prepares for a December moveThe euro suffered another weak session yesterday, with the euro/dollar pair dropping below the key 200-day simple moving average and euro/pound fully erasing the recent UK CPI-induced correction.
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XM市场研究 - 23小时前Neutral

Technical Analysis – EURUSD selloff accelerates

Downleg in EURUSD continues, erases the summer rallyIt has easily overcome the key 200-day SMAMomentum indicators are representative of the decline's strengthEURUSD is trading aggressively lower today on the back of the ECB announcing another rate cut and the US retail sales report producing another upside surprise. EURUSD has easily broken below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), almost entirely erasing the summer rally that pushed EURUSD to a 14-month high at 1.1213.The strength of
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XM市场研究 - 1天前Neutral

Quick Brief - US retail sales give dollar bulls another shot in the arm

Retail sales in the US rise by more than expected in SeptemberInitial jobless claims are also better than expectedUS dollar edges higher after the dataIt’s a hat-trick of stronger-than-expected data for the US economy as retail sales, weekly jobless claims and the Philly Fed manufacturing index all beat their forecasts on Thursday. Retail sales rose by 0.4% m/m in September, topping estimates of 0.3% and accelerating from the prior 0.1% reading.
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XM市场研究 - 1天前Neutral

Quick Brief – ECB cut rates by 25 bps as expected

ECB’s announcement has no strong impact on the marketEuro continues the selling interestSeptember inflation revised down to 1.7% y/yThe ECB cut its interest rates by 25 bps in October as forecasted following similar moves in September and June. The ECB adjusted three different rates: 3.25% for the deposit facility, 3.4% for the main refinancing operations, and 3.65% for the marginal lending facility.A more recent evaluation of inflation has shown that disinflation is making positive progre
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XM市场研究 - 1天前Neutral

Daily Comment – US dollar could benefit from an unexciting ECB meeting

ECB meets but unlikely to reverse euro’s recent trendBoth the dollar and US stocks are in a good moodNetflix reports today after TSMC's massive profit jumpGold and bitcoin in demand, oil craves a bullish catalystEuro's suffering continues as ECB meetsThe euro remains on the back foot as it continues to underperform the dollar. The pair has dropped to the lowest level since August 2 with October shaping up to be the weakest month for euro/dollar since May 2023. This dollar outperformanc
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XM市场研究 - 1天前Bearish

Technical Analysis – EURUSD dives beneath significant levels, losing 3%

EURUSD continues the sell-offImmediate support at medium-term uptrend lineStochastic edges lower in oversold areaEURUSD is experiencing more losses a few hours ahead of the ECB interest rate decision, sending the market beneath the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 1.0870 resistance.Technically, the stochastic oscillator is extending its negative momentum in the oversold zone creating a bearish crossover within its %K and %D lines.
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XM市场研究 - 2天前Neutral

Daily Comment – Stocks under pressure by chipmakers, pound slips on CPI drop

Chip stocks hit by selloff after ASML cuts 2025 guidanceDollar stretches gains as pound and kiwi fall on lower inflationOil steadier amid ongoing ME drama, gold heads towards fresh recordChip and AI stocks take a diveEquity markets suffered a setback on Tuesday after Dutch semiconductor giant, ASML, sparked panic about the demand outlook for chips when it accidentally published its earnings report a day early.
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XM市场研究 - 3天前Neutral

Volatility eases slightly as the risk on sentiment lingers – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility is very close to the last 30 days’ highVolatility in commodities remains elevatedStock indices experience above average volatility Euro/dollar volatility remains very high, close to the highest level of the past month, as the US dollar continues to rally following a series of strong US data and some hawkish Fedspeak. Interestingly, the volatility of yen crosses has crashed across the board, with the yen surrendering another good part of its recent sizeable gains on th
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XM市场研究 - 3天前Neutral

Daily Comment – US dollar and stock rally continues

Euphoria in US assets, stock indices reach new highsToday's Fed speakers could threaten Monday’s gainsOil and gold in the red, bitcoin enjoys a strong boostPound ignores jobs data, awaits Wednesday’s CPIUS stocks and dollar in the greenBoth the US dollar and main US equity indices enjoyed another strong session yesterday. Euro/dollar traded at a 45-day low, and both the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones indices recorded new all-time highs despite the Columbus Day bank holiday keeping both th
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XM市场研究 - 4天前Neutral

Daily Comment – Dollar edges up, stocks muted as China stimulus underwhelms

China announces more stimulus details but no word on size of packageAttention turns to week’s other events as stocks unimpressedEuro and pound flat as ECB decision and UK CPI awaitedChina pledges more support, stocks steadyChinese officials unveiled more measures to shore up the country’s embattled property sector while also pledging further support for businesses and consumers in two separate announcements on Saturday and Monday.
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XM市场研究 - 4天前Neutral

Weekly Technical Outlook – EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY

ECB expected to cut rates by 25 bps; EURUSD remains beneath 1.1000UK CPI could provide some clues for the next BoE decision; GBPUSD in weak modeUS retail sales may lower chances for another Fed rate cut; USDJPY flirts with 149.35ECB decision -->  EURUSDThe upcoming ECB interest rate decision on Thursday is this week's most anticipated event. Initially opposed by President Lagarde and her colleagues, the possibility of a rate decrease in October has gained traction among investors.�
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XM市场研究 - 1周前Neutral

Week Ahead – ECB headed towards another cut, CPI on the agenda elsewhere

The ECB is expected to deliver its first back-to-back rate cut on ThursdayCPI data incoming in Canada, China, Japan, New Zealand and UKChina GDP and US retail sales also high on investors’ radarIs an ECB rate cut a done deal?Following the RBNZ, which cut interest rates by 50 basis points this Wednesday, the central bank torch will be passed next week to the ECB.
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XM市场研究 - 1周前Neutral

Daily Comment – Dollar baffled after mixed data and Fedspeak

Jobless claims contradict the stronger CPI reportFed’s Bostic talks about a November Fed pauseDollar trades sideways as the market still expects a November cutOil and gold in the green, pound doesn’t enjoy today’s dataCPI and jobless claims jump, but Fed’s Bostic makes the headlinesThe US inflation report managed to produce an upside surprise with both the headline and core indicators accelerating by an additional 0.1% on an annual basis compared to the economists’ forecasts.
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XM市场研究 - 1周前Bearish

Technical Analysis – EURUSD continues to ease below 1.0950

EURUSD may find strong support at 200-day SMAPrice loses 2.5% from 1.1200 levelMomentum oscillators near oversold conditionsEURUSD is still developing beneath the 1.0950 support level, after the completion of the double top pattern below the 1.1000 key level, which suggests a reversal of the trend. Currently, the price is also standing between  the penetrated short-term uptrend line and the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 1.0870.If the selling interest continues, the price may rebou
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XM市场研究 - 1周前Neutral

Midweek Technical Look – EURUSD, USDCAD, gold

EURUSD retains selling interest beneath 1.0950USDCAD declines after aggressive buying interest to 2-month highGold finds support at 2,600 critical level
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XM市场研究 - 1周前Neutral

Daily Comment – Dollar seeks direction amidst tepid market conditions

Fed speakers and minutes in the spotlight todayDollar’s rally pauses, but oil and gold suffer lossesRBNZ cuts rates by 50bps, kiwi weakensChina schedules another press conference as local stocks plungeFed members continue to support a November rate cutThe public discussion regarding the Fed’s next steps continues, as a plethora of Fed members are on the wires almost on a daily basis.
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XM市场研究 - 1周前Neutral

Volatility skyrockets across the board after an eventful week – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility surges to the highest level of the monthVolatility in commodities reaches new monthly highStock indices experience very high volatilityEuro/dollar volatility has reached the highest level of the past 30 days, as the FX market was rocked by the strong US labour market report, denting the possibility of another 50bps Fed rate cut in November.
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XM市场研究 - 1周前Neutral

As investors scale back Fed cut bets, US CPI data enters the spotlight – Preview

US NFP data eliminate chances of another 50bps rate cutSpotlight turns to US CPI numbers for SeptemberPMI data corroborate the notion for sticky underlying inflationThe data comes out on Thursday, at 12:30 GMTBets of 50bps cut in November disappearThe dollar’s engines received more fuel on Friday, with the catalyst this time around being the robust US employment data for September.
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XM市场研究 - 2周前Neutral

Daily Comment – Dollar stands tall after robust jobs report

Strong US data dent chances of a 50bps Fed rate cutPlethora of Fed speakers on the wires todayDollar enjoys strong gains, stocks rally unexpectedlyOil pushes higher as gold’s retreat continuesUS jobs report surprises to the upside, doves are displeasedAnother exciting week commences as market participants are still digesting the unexpectedly strong US labour market data.
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