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FX options wrap - Pricing FX calm before US election storm

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Pricing FX calm before US election storm Price action in FX options reinforces the outlook that there's little to excite FX markets before the U.S. election, but plenty of risks to hedge in its wake. The recent/current lack of FX realised volatility is weighing on implied volatility, especially for options that expire prior to the U.S.
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Dollar rides 'Trump trade' toward third weekly gain, markets brush off China GDP

FOREX-Dollar rides 'Trump trade' toward third weekly gain, markets brush off China GDP Dollar steady on US economic resilience Chinese yuan eyes further stimulus details Bitcoin gains on 'Trump trade' Updates at 0500 GMT By Tom Westbrook SINGAPORE, Oct 18 (Reuters) - The dollar was headed for its third weekly gain in a row on Friday, helped by a dovish European Central Bank and strong U.S.
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Australian dollar bathes in jobs afterglow, helped by China stocks

Australian dollar bathes in jobs afterglow, helped by China stocks By Stella Qiu SYDNEY, Oct 18 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar extended gains on Friday following a solid jobs report while also getting a helping hand from China where stocks rose on the launch of support measures and slightly stronger-than-expected economic growth. Markets have further pared the chance of a rate cut in Australia this year to just 25%, with a first easing not fully priced in until April 2025, after strong U.S.
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Dollar rides 'Trump trade' toward third weekly rise, markets brush off China GDP

FOREX-Dollar rides 'Trump trade' toward third weekly rise, markets brush off China GDP Updates at 0315 GMT By Tom Westbrook SINGAPORE, Oct 18 (Reuters) - The dollar was headed for its third weekly gain in a row on Friday, helped by a dovish European Central Bank and strong U.S. data that is pushing out expectations for how fast U.S. rates can fall, particularly if Donald Trump wins the presidency.
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China GDP gets little cheer, dollar rides 'Trump trade' toward third weekly rise

FOREX-China GDP gets little cheer, dollar rides 'Trump trade' toward third weekly rise Updates at 0210 GMT By Tom Westbrook SINGAPORE, Oct 18 (Reuters) - T he Australian dollar and Chinese yuan ticked higher on Friday after China's closely watched third-quarter growth figures came in slightly better than forecasts, but kept the pressure on policymakers to roll out more stimulus quickly.
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Dollar rides 'Trump trade' toward third weekly rise

FOREX-Dollar rides 'Trump trade' toward third weekly rise By Tom Westbrook SINGAPORE, Oct 18 (Reuters) - The dollar headed for a third weekly gain in a row on Friday, helped by a dovish European Central Bank and strong U.S. data that is pushing out expectations for how fast U.S. rates can fall, particularly if Donald Trump wins the presidency. The euro EUR=EBS is down almost 1% for the week so far, has fallen through its 200-day moving average, and at $1.0828 in early Asia trade is parked near a
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FX options wrap - USD gains and Trump trades are key drivers

BUZZ-FX options wrap - USD gains and Trump trades are key drivers FX option implied volatility remains broadly heavy amid the ongoing lack of FX realised volatility, but the impending U.S. election and the risk of an extended USD recovery maintain demand and premium for the 'Trump trade' . Overnight expiry EUR related implied volatility was the lowest for any ECB policy announcement in 2024 - consistent with the lack of actual volatility in its wake.
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These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade'

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade' Repeats with no changes Oct 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has regained his poll lead over Democratic rival Kamala Harris with only three weeks to go before the U.S. election and it's fuelling demand for options to hedge the risk of a stronger USD rebound.
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Aussie gains on jobs surprise; dollar firms on 'Trump trade'

FOREX-Aussie gains on jobs surprise; dollar firms on 'Trump trade' Updates at 0515 GMT By Rae Wee SINGAPORE, Oct 17 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar rose on Thursday after employment numbers beat forecasts for a sixth straight month, while the dollar held near an 11-week high as it drew additional support from a potential Trump win at the upcoming U.S.
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Australian dollar gets much needed lift from strong jobs, bond yields rise

Australian dollar gets much needed lift from strong jobs, bond yields rise SYDNEY, Oct 17 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar rebounded from a one-month low and bond yields gained on Thursday after jobs data again blew past expectations, leaving hopes for a year-end rate cut in tatters. However, the Aussie's gains were capped as risk sentiment was undermined a little by a disappointing housing policy briefing in China that sent prices for iron ore - Australia's biggest export to China - down more
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Aussie benefits from jobs surprise; dollar firms

FOREX-Aussie benefits from jobs surprise; dollar firms Updates at 0330 GMT By Rae Wee SINGAPORE, Oct 17 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar rose on Thursday after employment numbers beat forecasts for a sixth month, while the dollar held near an 11-week high as it drew additional support from a potential Trump win at the upcoming U.S. election . A press conference in China provided the highlight for the Asia day as Beijing focused on measures to prop up the country's beleaguered property sector.
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Aussie jumps on jobs surprise, dollar holds steady

FOREX-Aussie jumps on jobs surprise, dollar holds steady Updates at 0205 GMT By Rae Wee SINGAPORE, Oct 17 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar charged higher on Thursday after employment numbers beat forecasts for a sixth month, while the dollar held near an 11-week high as it drew additional support from a potential Trump win at the upcoming U.S. election .
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Dollar hovers near 11-week high, eyes on China property briefing

FOREX-Dollar hovers near 11-week high, eyes on China property briefing By Rae Wee SINGAPORE, Oct 17 (Reuters) - The dollar held near an 11-week high on Thursday as uncertainty over the upcoming U.S. election looms and as resilience in the U.S. economy added to bets the Federal Reserve will be less aggressive in easing rates versus its peers elsewhere.
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Asia Morning Call-Global Markets

UPDATE 1-Asia Morning Call-Global Markets Oct 17 (Reuters) - Stock Markets Net Chng Stock Markets Net Chng S&P/ASX 200** 8,284.70 -33.70 NZX 50** 12,641.32 -199.45 DJIA 43,077.70 +337.28 NIKKEI** 39,180.30 -730.25 Nasdaq 18,367.08 +51.49 FTSE** 8,329.07 +79.79 S&P 500 5,842.47 +27.21 Hang Seng** 20,286.85 -31.94 SPI 200 Fut 8,386 +60 STI** 3,590.62 -4.85 SSEC** 3,202.948 +1.6561 KOSPI** 2,610.36 -23.09 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bonds
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Asia Morning Call-Global Markets

Asia Morning Call-Global Markets Oct 17 (Reuters) - Stock Markets Net Chng Stock Markets Net Chng S&P/ASX 200** 8,284.70 -33.70 NZX 50** 12,641.32 -199.45 DJIA 43,055.39 +314.97 NIKKEI** 39,180.30 -730.25 Nasdaq 18,365.72 +50.13 FTSE** 8,329.07 +79.79 S&P 500 5,841.62 +26.36 Hang Seng** 20,286.85 -31.94 SPI 200 Fut 8,397 +71 STI** 3,590.62 -4.85 SSEC** 3,202.948 +1.6561 KOSPI** 2,610.36 -23.09 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bonds Bonds JP
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FX options wrap - Trump trade, ECB risk, revealing sales

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Trump trade, ECB risk, revealing sales Shorter dated expiry implied volatility in most of the major currency pairs remains under pressure and reflects the lack of current FX realised volatility. That's not expected to change much until the U.S. election, where implied volatility is higher and better supported. Overnight expiry implied volatility remains very low, even in EUR related pairings which now include Thursday's ECB policy announcement .
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British inflation sends pound briefly below $1.30, dollar firm on Fed outlook, potential Trump win

British inflation sends pound briefly below $1.30, dollar firm on Fed outlook, potential Trump win Updates prices at 1120 GMT By Alun John and Kevin Buckland LONDON/TOKYO, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Sterling tumbled to its lowest in two months on Wednesday after softer than expected British inflation data offered scope for the Bank of England to cut rates more forcefully, while the euro was at a 10-week low ahead of a European Central Bank meeting.
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These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade'

BUZZ-COMMENT-These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade' Oct 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has regained his poll lead over Democratic rival Kamala Harris with only three weeks to go before the U.S. election and it's fuelling demand for options to hedge the risk of a stronger USD rebound. USD call options give holders the right to buy the USD at levels that are advantageous to the FX spot rate, for an upfront premium.
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British inflation data hurts pound, Dollar firm on Fed outlook, potential Trump win

FOREX-British inflation data hurts pound, Dollar firm on Fed outlook, potential Trump win Refiles to add dropped FOREX tag, no changes to text By Alun John and Kevin Buckland LONDON/TOKYO, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Sterling tumbled to its lowest in two months on Wednesday after softer than expected British inflation data offered scope for the Bank of England to cut rates more forcefully, while the euro was at a 10-week low ahead of a European Central Bank meeting.
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Dollar firms as investors weigh Fed outlook, potential Trump win

FOREX-Dollar firms as investors weigh Fed outlook, potential Trump win Updates at 0552 GMT By Kevin Buckland TOKYO, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar hovered near two-month peaks versus major peers on Wednesday, supported by expectations the Federal Reserve will proceed with modest interest rate cuts and a rise in betting odds for a second Donald Trump presidency.
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