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Stocks, dollar gain after US retail sales data; focus still on Trump



<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><head><title>GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks, dollar gain after US retail sales data; focus still on Trump</title></head><body>

S&P 500 up in early trading

Treasury yields slip

Oil prices fall

Updates to 10:51 a.m. ET

By Isla Binnie and Amanda Cooper

NEW YORK/LONDON July 16 (Reuters) - World stock indexes mostly rose and the U.S. dollar strengthened on Tuesdayafter solid U.S. retail sales signalledresilience in the economy.

Data released on Tuesday showed retail sales unchanged in June from a May reading that was higher than initially estimated.

Markets were still fully pricing in a rate cut of at least 25 basis points (bps) by the Fed at its September meeting, according to CME's FedWatch Tool.

The MSCI All-World index .MIWD00000PUS rose 1.12 points, or 0.14%, to 829.85.

"There are signs of softness around the edges where low and moderate income consumers are pulling back ... but openhanded spending by affluent consumers is keeping the economy as a whole moving forward," said Bill Adams, chief economist at Comerica Bank.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Monday that recent inflation data bolstered policymakers' confidence that price pressures are on a sustainable path lower.

Investors also were still pondering the implications of a possible Donald Trump victory in the upcoming presidential election following the attemptedassassination on Trump onSaturday.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 592.93 points, or 1.47%, to 40,804.65, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 28.01 points, or 0.50%, to 5,659.23 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC gained 27.23 points, or 0.15%, to 18,499.80.

In Europe, the STOXX 600 .STOXX fell 0.23%.


A CLOSE RACE

Trump, a Republican,nominated J.D. Vance on Monday as his vice presidential running mate.

Opinion polls show a close race between Trump and President Joe Biden, though Trump leads in several states that are likely to decide the November election.

"He's already the favourite, by some margin, so he’s becoming even more of a favourite," said Colin Asher, economist a Mizuho, said.

XTB research director Kathleen Brooks said,"TheTrump trade is buy American stocks and ditch everything else..."

The dollar index =USD, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, gained 0.16% to 104.41, with the euro EUR= down 0.14% at $1.0879. Against the Japanese yen JPY=, the dollar strengthened 0.37% to 158.6.

Investors are still closely watching the yen after Tokyo's suspected intervention last week disrupted the popular carry trade.

Japanese officials also madefresh warnings of possible measures.

Data on Tuesday showed the Bank of Japan likely intervened a second time on July 12 to the tune of 2.14 trillion yen ($13.50 billion) to support the currency. This follows some $22.43 billion the central bank may have spent on intervention the previous day, according to last Friday's data.

Treasury prices foundsome stability after Monday's sell-off. The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes US10YT=RR fell 3.1 basis points to 4.198%, from 4.229% late on Monday.

Oil prices were lower, with U.S. crude down 1.03% to $81.08 a barrel and Brent LCOc1 at $84.13 per barrel, down 0.86% on the day. O/R





Asia stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

Asia-Pacific valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA


Additional reporting by Caroline Valetkevitch in New York and Stella Qiu in Sydney; Editing by Tomasz Janowski, Mark Potter and Aurora Ellis

To read Reuters Markets and Finance news, click on https://www.reuters.com/finance/markets For the state of play of Asian stock markets please click on: 0#.INDEXA
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